DIY Investor Magazine
/
2015 Issue
4
Welcome to the first DIY Investor Magazine of 2015
which looks ahead to the coming year and as always
draws on expert views and commentary.
There has been some extraordinary volatility in global
markets fuelled by a major collapse in the oil price to
half that of its recent peak. The Eurozone faces deflation
and political instability in the shape of Greece. Even
the recent €1.1 trillion injection bond buying stimulus
announced by the European Central Bank is unlikely
to be enough to see the troubled project clear. What it
needs is growth and unfortunately that is in short supply.
The International Monetary Fund has even slashed
its forecasts for global expansion in 2015 by 0.3% to
3.5% and 3.7% for 2016. Part of this is reflected by
the slowdown in Chinese output as well as developed
economy weakness. The lower oil price might well
counter-balance this but the fear is that reduced demand
for oil also suggests weaker overall economic demand.
That said the IMF chief Chistine Lagarde has had to eat
her words over the economic situation in Britain. A year
ago she warned that the UK was heading in the wrong
economic direction, spending cuts were ‘playing with
fire’ and her organisation duly cut growth projections.
With recovery firmly underway at home, her view now is
that in election year ‘the UK is leading in a very eloquent
and convincing way in the European Union.’ However,
growth across the world is far from even let alone stable.
While there seems little evidence that the boom in the
United States is close to running out of steam any time
soon, uncertainty persists not only in Europe and China
but also from Russia to South America.
And it is this potent mix which faces investors in 2015.
It represents opportunities as well as risks and DIY
Investor Magazine will be there each month through the
year to help guide decisions, shape portfolio strategies
and generate ideas. If there’s anything you’d like to
see featured in future editions, do let us know. You can
contact us at:
Dr Stephen Barber, Editor
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DIY Investor Magazine
delivers education and
information, it does not
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REVOLUTION
DR STEPHEN BARBER
Editor
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